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Anna Smith, a 27-year-old University of Toronto graduate student, dreams of starting a family but faces limited space in their $1,550/month, 500-square-foot apartment.

Like many Canadians in their twenties and thirties, she grapples with the challenge of affording both a family and adequate housing amidst surging prices and low availability in Canada’s rental market.

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The housing crisis has pushed vacancy rates to historic lows, with average rents hitting record highs.

Less than one percent of rentals across major Canadian cities are both vacant and affordable.

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Karen Lawson, a University of Saskatchewan professor, notes that financial, housing, and personal factors shape millennials’ family planning decisions.

Many delay children until achieving career and financial stability.

For Smith and her partner, both scientists, career constraints in major cities amplify housing affordability pressures.

Their situation highlights the tough choices millennials face in balancing career ambitions with starting a family.

Rising Housing Costs and Decreased Availability

The Canadian rental housing market is in crisis mode, with surging prices and dwindling availability reaching critical levels.

According to a January rental market report from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), demand far outstrips supply, exacerbating the situation.

Vacancy rates have plummeted to historic lows, creating fierce competition among renters.

Average rent prices have soared to unprecedented highs, making affordable housing increasingly elusive for the majority of Canadians.

CBC News’ analysis across major Canadian cities underscores this stark reality, revealing that less than one percent of available rentals meet both vacancy and affordability criteria, highlighting the severe challenges in accessing suitable housing options.

Impact on Family Planning

For many Canadians, housing affordability directly influences decisions about family planning.

Zach Robichaud, 37, from Kitchener, Ontario, planned for a larger family but scaled back after the birth of his daughter, Avery, now four years old.

Despite both holding full-time jobs, their $2,000 monthly rent consumes a significant portion of their income, making expanding their family financially unfeasible.

Canada’s total fertility rate plummeted to its lowest in over a century in 2022, according to Statistics Canada, largely attributed to affordability concerns.

A staggering 38 percent of young adults aged 20 to 29 expressed doubts about affording children in the next three years, underscoring the pervasive impact of housing costs on family planning decisions.

Housing Market Dynamics

Randall Bartlett, senior director of Canadian economics at Desjardins, notes a dual challenge: inadequate supply of affordable housing coupled with older Canadians staying in homes longer, further constricting housing availability for younger generations.

A study by Abacus Data and the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) found that 55 percent of Canadians aged 18 to 34 reported the housing crisis influencing their decision and timing to start a family, with 28 percent postponing parenthood due to affordability concerns.

Additionally, the study revealed that many young Canadians are considering relocating to more affordable areas or even leaving the country altogether to achieve their homeownership dreams.

Complexities in Family Planning Decisions

Karen Lawson, a professor at the University of Saskatchewan, emphasizes the multifaceted nature of family planning decisions today.

Financial and housing costs play a crucial role, but so do personal considerations related to child-rearing and career development.

Lawson’s research highlights a shift towards a more sequential life path among young Canadians, where achieving educational and career milestones precedes decisions about starting a family.

This sequential approach reflects broader societal changes where individuals prioritize stability and financial security before embarking on parenthood.

For many, the decision to delay starting a family is influenced by the challenging economic landscape and the desire to provide a stable environment for future children.

The Personal Toll

For Anna Smith, balancing academic pursuits with family planning has been daunting.

Securing their current modestly priced apartment during a brief lull in housing costs amid the COVID-19 pandemic provided temporary relief.

However, as she nears the end of her PhD in medicine, the prospect of affording a larger, more expensive living space looms large.

With careers in major cities being their likely path, the couple faces the reality of higher housing costs as they plan for the future.

In conclusion, the housing dilemma facing Canadian millennials like Anna Smith and Zach Robichaud underscores the broader societal challenge of balancing family aspirations with economic realities.

As housing costs continue to rise and availability remains limited, the decision to start a family becomes increasingly complex and often delayed.

For policymakers and stakeholders, addressing these challenges is crucial to ensuring future generations can afford both adequate housing and the opportunity to build their families.